Why Stephen Harper Will Face Justin Trudeau in the Next Federal Election by Jamie Gilcig
CFN – Now that Summer is officially here; pundits are mulling and posturing about the upcoming Federal election in 2015 unless Mr. Harper decides to call a snap Fall election which is doubtful.
Doubtful also is the suggestion that he will step down and decide not to face Justin Trudeau. It should be the most interesting election this country has seen in decades.
If that duck were to fly Mr. Harper would have stepped down already. At this point if he were to step down it would be Kim Campbell time for his party and his legacy.
Why won’t Mr. Harper step down? Well, for one it’s an ultimate challenge for him with many already suggesting he can’t beat the younger, prettier, and seemingly more popular son of one of Canada’s most loved and hated Prime Ministers.
There have been many failings in the Harper government; its autocratic style; its meanness and seeming uncaring towards the general public; the abuse of the CBC and our military; spending more on advertising job plans than investing in jobs. There are plenty of targets to throw darts at; but at the same time Mr. Harper is a seasoned warrior at this point.
Of course, while most Conservatives won’t admit it; so is Mr. Trudeau and his team, and yes, he has a team that’s much more focused and cohesive than recent Liberal offerings. The Liberals in fact haven’t seemed this on target since the pre Jean Chretien Paul Martin Civil War days.
The Tories have needled their attacks at Trudeau looking for weak spots and anything that they could get a foot hold with the public; but so far there have been no knock out blows like the attacks on Stephane Dion that were never recovered from.
And that might be Mr. Trudeau’s biggest strength; counter punching. Like any good boxer knows, sometimes it’s not the first punch thrown, but the second, third and fourth that wins that match.
While the recent bye election results have gone in Mr. Trudeau’s favor anything can happen on election day. This next year will be one big campaign on all sides. The NDP under Thomas Mulcair seem to have lost their spark; and there is no Jack Layton to inspire in this election. They have been a fairly mute opposition and the odds of them maintaining their 100 plus seats are about that of the Leafs having a Stanley Cup Parade in 2015.
They say that in the Art of War, when you are the weaker adversary, to always pick the time and place of battle.
Stephen Harper will be hunting down Justin Trudeau this next year. The question will be whether he can catch him before election day, and if our Prime Minister has used up his nine political lives yet?
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